Bala Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 3
TNS
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
PRE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |