Bala Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 2
PRE
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
PRE
70%
18%
13%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
RHY
44%
23%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |