Bala Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
64%
19%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
WEL
50%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NEW
4 - 2
CEF
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
WEL
5 - 2
CEF
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAN
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |