Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 2
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 5
LOR
24%
23%
52%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
AGU
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
4 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCA
5 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
6 - 2
UCA
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 0
PIN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
UCA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UCA
6 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |