Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
BAL
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALQ
3 - 1
BAL
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 1
BAL
68%
17%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
JUM
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALQ
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 0
ALC
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
MIN
17%
20%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 5
BAL
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |