Bala Azul vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALG
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MME
0 - 0
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 2
BAL
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAZ
0 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
MAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
MIN
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
MIN
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 2
EFL
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
MIN
8%
16%
76%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |