Bala Azul vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
RMC
2 - 4
BAL
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
5 - 3
EEP
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MIN
2 - 2
ALQ
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
MIN
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 0
RMC
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
MIN
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |