Bala Azul vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 0
BAL
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
YEC
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NVL
4 - 0
BAL
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 5
CAR
16%
20%
65%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
7 - 1
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
JUM
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
EFA
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 5
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPO
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |