Bala Azul vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MSM
3 - 5
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
ABA
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
AGU
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |