Bala Azul vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
3 - 0
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 0
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
PLU
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
6 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |