Bala Azul vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JUM
0 - 4
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
5 - 2
CDL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MSM
0 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
BAL
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PLU
2 - 6
ALQ
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 1
PLU
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PLU
0 - 0
MIN
27%
22%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 1
PLU
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PLU
1 - 5
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |