Bala Azul vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUL
3 - 0
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDB
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MSM
2 - 2
BAL
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
MIN
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
CIE
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PLU
0 - 0
PIN
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
PLU
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 1
PLU
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 1
PUL
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PLU
2 - 0
CDB
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |