Bala Azul vs Moratalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LHO
1 - 1
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAL
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
LOR
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 0
MOR
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUL
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |