Bala Azul vs AD Lorqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 5
BAL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
PLU
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JUM
0 - 4
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
5 - 2
CDL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MSM
0 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALQ
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ABA
2 - 1
LOR
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
MIN
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 0
LOR
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 4
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |