Bala Azul vs AD Lorqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
JUM
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
EFA
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 0
BAL
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
JUM
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 5
EFA
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
LOR
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 0
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |