Bala Azul vs Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
IMP
4 - 1
BAL
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PIN
3 - 0
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
JUM
3 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MOL
1 - 2
HOR
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ORI
4 - 1
MOL
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
MOL
0 - 1
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 0
MOL
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MOL
3 - 2
MAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |