Bala Azul vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 3
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
CFC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
EGP
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 0
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
PIN
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
PLU
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PUL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDB
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |