Bala Azul vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CFB
1 - 1
BAL
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAL
20%
25%
55%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
JUM
1 - 1
BAL
79%
15%
6%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDB
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIU
2 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CFB
1 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |