Bala Azul vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
3 - 0
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 0
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LHO
1 - 1
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PLU
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PUL
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
LOR
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |