Bala Azul vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCS
3 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
CPE
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 1
ABA
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
YEC
3 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRA
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 1
CUA
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 16 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 2
LOR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
LOR
16%
23%
62%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |