Bala Azul vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 0
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MAZ
1 - 3
BAL
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 1
PIN
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
JUM
1 - 0
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MME
1 - 1
LOR
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
YEC
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
LUM
0 - 2
LOR
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
5 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
OLI
0 - 1
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |