Bala Azul vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
BAL
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
OLI
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CFC
4 - 1
BAL
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
EGP
4 - 1
BAL
44%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 2
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
EGP
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
JUM
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BUL
0 - 2
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
8 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |