Bala Azul vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
AGU
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
4 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
PIN
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAL
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
7 - 1
PLU
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |