Bala Azul vs Horadada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
UCA
3 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAL
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
AGU
2 - 0
BAL
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
BAL
3 - 0
LOR
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Horadada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
HOR
2 - 1
AFC
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALQ
1 - 2
HOR
33%
27%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
HOR
1 - 1
MOL
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
IMP
3 - 0
HOR
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LOR
2 - 3
HOR
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |