Bala Azul vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BUL
1 - 0
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 1
BAL
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOR
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOR
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
ABA
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
2 - 2
BUL
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
ABA
56%
22%
21%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
3 - 2
UDL
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |