Bala Azul vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOR
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
BAL
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
OLI
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CFC
4 - 1
BAL
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CIE
5 - 2
PIN
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 4
CIE
27%
26%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PUL
0 - 1
CIE
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 0
CDB
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |