Bala Azul vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOR
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
1 - 0
BAL
34%
24%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
PUL
21%
25%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SOH
3 - 4
BAL
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 0
JUM
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
5 - 1
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
UDL
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 2
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |