Bala Azul vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
3 - 0
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 0
ABA
80%
15%
6%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 1
CDB
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |