Bala Azul vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 0
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LHO
1 - 1
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAL
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
ABA
61%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
PUL
19%
24%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |