Bala Azul vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
YEC
3 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
1 - 1
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 2
MAZ
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
JUM
5 - 2
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
PUL
34%
24%
43%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
CUA
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
ABA
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 2
CCS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CPE
0 - 0
ABA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |