Bala Azul vs Ceuti At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 2
LOR
18%
25%
57%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CIU
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 1
YEC
22%
25%
54%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 2
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceuti At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CEU
0 - 2
SGI
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MUL
5 - 0
CEU
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CEU
0 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CFB
3 - 0
CEU
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SDC
5 - 0
CEU
89%
7%
4%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -8 |