Bala Azul vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MME
2 - 1
BAL
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
MIN
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IMP
5 - 2
BAL
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 0
MIN
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
86%
11%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 3
JUV
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
RAA
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RAA
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
CDT
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 4
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |