Bala Azul vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 1
PIN
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
CIE
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PUT
0 - 5
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 1
CCS
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOR
9%
19%
72%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
ABA
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAL
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
MOR
8%
19%
73%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | +2 |