Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EFA
4 - 1
BAL
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
UDL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
BAL
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAP
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CIE
4 - 2
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 2
JUM
62%
19%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
EFA
4 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
ADM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |