Bakili vs FK Neftchala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bakili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
BAK
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 0
BAK
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAK
3 - 0
ENE
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAK
3 - 1
SAH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 0
BAK
40%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FK Neftchala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FKQ
3 - 0
FKN
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
FKQ
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUS
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ENE
2 - 0
FKN
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |