Bakes vs Jerudong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
BKA
1 - 3
WIJ
27%
20%
53%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IKL
0 - 0
BKA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 0
BKA
10%
14%
75%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BKA
1 - 2
AKS
93%
6%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PMU
1 - 1
BKA
49%
21%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jerudong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
JER
3 - 1
BSR
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MSA
6 - 1
JER
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JER
2 - 3
PMU
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
IKL
3 - 1
JER
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MSA
2 - 1
JER
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |