Baião vs Gondim-Maia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
BAI
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAI
2 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAV
0 - 1
BAI
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PED
3 - 1
BAI
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 0
INF
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gondim-Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GMA
4 - 1
INF
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
GMA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GMA
0 - 0
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOG
0 - 1
GMA
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GMA
0 - 0
ALP
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |