Baía de Pemba vs UDS Songo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
BDP
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
BDP
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
BDP
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BTF
3 - 0
BDP
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
UDS Songo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HCB
1 - 1
COS
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
HCB
28%
29%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BTF
0 - 1
HCB
22%
28%
50%
|
70 | 22 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
HCB
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |