Bahia U20 vs Grêmio U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAH
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAH
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 1
AME
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
CRU
5 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATL
74%
15%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 2
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |