Bahia U20 vs Grêmio U20 analysis

Bahia U20 Grêmio U20
34 ELO 44
-0.6% Tilt -5%
7014º General ELO ranking 5576º
300º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Bahia U20
24.8%
Draw
46.3%
Grêmio U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
Bahia U20
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.3%
Win probability
Grêmio U20
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahia U20
-11%
-48%
Grêmio U20

Points and table prediction

Bahia U20
Their league position
Grêmio U20
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
10º
14
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo U20
18
19
100%
Corinthians U20
17
18
100%
Santos U20
15
18
56.5%
Grêmio U20
14
17
27.5%
Athlético PR U20
17
17
44.5%
Palmeiras U20
16
16
64.5%
Internacional U20
13
16
41.5%
Bahia U20
14
14
15%
Cruzeiro U20
14
14
20%
América Mineiro U20
10º
12
13
10º
75.5%
Atlético Mineiro U20
11º
12
13
11º
75.5%
Cuiabá U20
13º
11
12
12º
0%
Fortaleza U20
12º
12
12
13º
4%
Fluminense U20
14º
10
11
14º
91.5%
Botafogo U20
15º
10
11
15º
91.5%
Ceará U20
16º
9
9
16º
91.5%
São Paulo U20
17º
8
8
17º
0%
Goiás U20
18º
8
8
18º
0%
Atlético GO U20
19º
2
2
19º
0%
RB Bragantino U20
20º
1
2
20º
0%
Expected probabilities
Bahia U20
Grêmio U20
Next round
27% 51.5%
Mid-table
73% 48.5%

ELO progression

Bahia U20
Grêmio U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahia U20
Bahia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2023
SAN
Santos U20
2 - 2
Bahia U20
BAH
73%
16%
11%
35 45 10 0
13 Apr. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO U20
0 - 2
Bahia U20
BAH
28%
21%
51%
34 25 9 +1
05 Apr. 2023
BAH
Bahia U20
3 - 3
Cruzeiro U20
CRU
26%
22%
53%
34 43 9 0
29 Mar. 2023
FOR
Fortaleza U20
2 - 1
Bahia U20
BAH
38%
23%
40%
34 30 4 0
23 Mar. 2023
ATL
Athlético PR U20
1 - 0
Bahia U20
BAH
80%
13%
7%
35 48 13 -1

Matches

Grêmio U20
Grêmio U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
3 - 0
Atlético GO U20
ATL
87%
9%
4%
43 24 19 0
13 Apr. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
2 - 3
Palmeiras U20
PAL
30%
25%
45%
44 51 7 -1
05 Apr. 2023
GOI
Goiás U20
0 - 0
Grêmio U20
GRE
35%
25%
40%
43 38 5 +1
30 Mar. 2023
SAO
São Paulo U20
0 - 1
Grêmio U20
GRE
51%
24%
26%
43 45 2 0
25 Mar. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
1 - 1
Santos U20
SAN
48%
24%
29%
43 43 0 0