Bahia U17 vs AE VF4 U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 4
FLU
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CEC
1 - 0
BAH
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 0
BAH
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 2
CRU
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAH
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AE VF4 U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
VF4
1 - 5
FLU
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |