Bahia de Feira vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 0
BAH
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 2
BAH
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
FEI
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |