Bagtyýarlyk Lebap vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagtyýarlyk Lebap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AGA
7 - 0
BAG
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAG
1 - 8
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BAG
0 - 5
BAL
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BAG
1 - 2
DAO
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
5 - 1
BAG
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
AHA
1 - 0
MER
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 0
TAL
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
AGA
0 - 2
MER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 5
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |