Baeza CF vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAE
24%
23%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BAI
3 - 2
BAE
34%
26%
40%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BAE
3 - 0
MLK
37%
26%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAE
2 - 2
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 2
BAE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 3
LIN
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 3
VIL
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAE
2 - 2
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MLK
3 - 1
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |