Baeza CF vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAE
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAE
0 - 1
ALH
11%
20%
69%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MLK
2 - 0
BAE
54%
23%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAE
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CHU
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACO
2 - 1
RJA
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
BEN
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 0
RJA
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 3
DHE
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |