Baeza CF vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+179%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
BAE
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAE
0 - 3
MAN
14%
25%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UDT
3 - 2
BAE
23%
25%
52%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 1
NER
42%
27%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BEN
4 - 0
BAE
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NER
4 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FUE
1 - 3
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NER
1 - 0
ALH
46%
25%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 1
NER
42%
27%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |