Baeza CF vs Mogon CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
+640%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 2
BAE
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BAE
3 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAE
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BAE
1 - 2
LAG
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FSV
2 - 3
BAE
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mogon CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MOG
2 - 1
LCA
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOG
70%
19%
12%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 1
CPH
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MOG
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
MOG
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |