Baeza CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAE
18%
26%
56%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
BAE
2 - 1
ATA
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAE
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
BAE
0 - 1
CDL
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
MOT
1 - 0
BAE
72%
18%
9%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
MMA
0 - 1
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
0 - 0
MMA
37%
29%
34%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
MMA
1 - 1
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
UDF
1 - 1
MMA
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
ANT
0 - 2
MMA
35%
29%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |