Baeza CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
JUV
0 - 1
BAE
42%
28%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
BAE
4 - 0
NER
66%
21%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
ILI
2 - 3
BAE
61%
24%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
BAE
2 - 2
ATA
63%
22%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
MOT
0 - 3
BAE
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MMA
1 - 0
UDS
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
JUV
4 - 1
MMA
17%
28%
55%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MMA
5 - 0
VEL
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
NER
1 - 2
MMA
25%
30%
45%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
MMA
4 - 1
MAL
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |