Baeza CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAE
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
AMA
3 - 0
BAE
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
BAE
1 - 0
RJA
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAE
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
BAE
1 - 0
MAL
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
MMA
2 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
VEL
0 - 5
MMA
39%
30%
32%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
MMA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
26%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
ANT
0 - 1
MMA
25%
30%
46%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
MMA
1 - 2
POL
56%
26%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |